ver.26.09.02 β 10 sites tracked: 8888.bg, alphawin.bg, betano.bg, betvam.bg, efbet.com, elitbet.bg, inbet.com, palmsbet.com, sesame.bg, winbet.bg
New in September 2026
- Forecasts tab β "Next to Drop" leaderboard with win probabilities (7/14/30 days) computed from each pool's historical payout threshold; Hot Pools; L2 Win Machines (frequent payers with next-win windows); and "When Bulgaria Plays" β organic growth by weekday and hour.
- Spotlight tab β pick any operator and see its market share, growth rank, head-to-head values vs the best competitor on every shared jackpot, all-time records, approaching payouts, and recent wins.
- Timeline tab β replay the market hour by hour: per-operator pooled values with jackpot payouts flashing as they happened, plus market-share evolution.
- Pool deep-dive β click any pool value anywhere in the dashboard for a full analysis card: per-level values vs records, growth, ETA to record, pattern classification and 30-day history with payouts marked. The same deep-dive is available from the Per-Site tab β every jackpot card (top pools and the full pool grid) is clickable.
- Model Scoreboard β every forecast is logged daily and scored against the payouts that actually happened: hit rates per risk level (7/14/30 days), probability calibration, Brier score, and confirmed calls. The model grades itself.
- Winner ticker & Wall of Fame β live scrolling feed of recent jackpot payouts, plus the all-time record payout board for every tracked pool and operator.
- Data-quality hardening β placeholder win dates (0001-01-01) are filtered everywhere; single-level jackpots (EGT-style) get the same deep-dive analysis as multi-level pools.
- Self-hosted Plotly β no external CDN dependency; the dashboard now loads fully from this server.
Recent Updates (Aug 2026)
- Rolling 7-day heatmaps & bar charts β Per-Site panels now show a rolling 7-day window for daily growth bar charts and hourly growth heatmaps, automatically shifting as new data comes in (previous: fixed calendar weeks).
- Top 5 pools per site β Per-Site tab now shows the top 5 pools by value and top 5 by growth rate (previously top 3), giving a broader view of each operator's portfolio.
- 72h organic site ranking β Sticky navbar ranking now sums each site's top 5 fastest-growing L1 pools (previously top 3), computed via linear regression on positive deltas only over a rolling 72-hour window β jackpot payouts are excluded.
- Live value ticking β Total Jackpot Value in the Dashboard stat card and all per-pool values in the Cross-Site Comparison table now tick up in real-time based on each pool's average growth rate, giving a live estimate between fetch runs.
- Week-over-Week Highlights β Improved Highlights tab with clearer week comparison cards showing per-pool change direction (β²/βΌ), percentage change, and previous vs current week growth side by side.
- New sites: betvam.bg, elitbet.bg, and alphawin.bg added β now covering 10 operators with 190+ active pools.
- Risk Dashboard: comprehensive risk section with Near-Win Alerts (pools approaching their record payout), Growth Anomalies (week-over-week changes), and Site Concentration (single-pool dependency risk).
- Improved data quality: Palmsbet Amusnet jackpot data fixed β switched to consolidated live endpoint for Jackpot Cards, Golden Coins Link, and Egypt Quest.
- Per-Site fixes: Elitbet now visible in the Per Site tab with all 16+ active pools.
- Informational dots: green pulsing indicators added across all sections explaining what each view represents.
- Consistent design: colored site badge labels across all tables for quick visual identification.
How It Works
This dashboard monitors progressive jackpot pools across multiple Bulgarian casino platforms. Data is sourced from public casino APIs, aggregated into a local SQLite database, and updated every hour via automated fetch runs.
Organic Growth & Site Ranking
Each site's organic growth is the sum of its top 5 fastest-growing Levelβ―1 pools over a rolling 72βhour window. Growth per pool is computed via linear regression on cumulative positive deltas only β jackpot payouts (value drops) are automatically excluded. This means sites are ranked by their strongest performers, not just by how many jackpot products they offer.
The navbar ranking shows this total per site. The PerβSite section breaks down the individual pools that contribute to each site's growth.
Risk Dashboard
The Risk Dashboard under the main Dashboard tab provides three risk views:
- Near-Win Alerts β pools where current L1 value is β₯60% of their top recorded payout at that site, combined with strong growth momentum.
- Growth Anomalies β week-over-week changes in organic L1 growth rate. Declines may signal reduced player activity; spikes can indicate promo campaigns.
- Site Concentration β each site's total pooled value and single-pool dependency. Dominance >50% means one jackpot accounts for over half that site's total value.
Week-over-Week Comparison
The Highlights section compares each pool's current week growth rate against the previous week. Both use the same organic growth method β only positive player-driven deltas are counted. Drops from jackpot payouts are excluded from both periods, and pools with zero activity show β¬0/h instead of negative values.
7-Day Rolling Charts
The bar chart and heatmap on each PerβSite panel show the last 7 rolling days, with today always on the right. The first column has full 24h coverage; only the last column (today) may be incomplete due to live data. Empty columns in the heatmap indicate missing fetches for that day.
Technical Notes
- Built with Python 3, FastAPI, Plotly, and SQLite.
- Dashboard auto-refreshes every 30 seconds via API polling.
- All monetary values are in EUR.
- 10 site fetchers with 190+ actively tracked jackpot pools across 500+ level snapshots per run.
Disclaimer
Jackpot values are sourced from public casino APIs and may not reflect real-time accuracy. No guarantee is made regarding completeness or correctness of the data. This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Use at your own risk.